Iran Sells the US Deal as Victory While Hardliners Call It a Sellout

The war stopped but the argument at home is just getting started.

Lin Xia
By Lin Xia
542
Naicom (general)

Iran leadership is trying to frame its emerging memorandum of understanding with the United States as a triumph of resistance rather than a retreat forced by economic collapse and military pressure. That is a difficult sales pitch and the cracks are already visible inside the very institutions that are supposed to project unity. The war battered the country and the economy is under siege and parts of the Islamic Republic own base spent months denouncing any compromise with Washington as betrayal. Now those same voices are being asked to accept the deal as a step toward final victory.

Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf the Speaker of parliament and the leading Iranian figure in the talks called it a long step towards final victory. President Masoud Pezeshkian went further by describing the understanding as potentially transformative and said that if fully implemented it could create a different world in Iran and the Middle East. Qalibaf involvement is significant because he does not belong to Pezeshkian moderate camp and his public support signals that the deal has backing from powerful elements within the Revolutionary Guards. The leadership wants the world to see consensus and strength.

The official narrative rests on a simple argument. The United States and Israel failed to achieve their main objectives. They did not force surrender and they did not remove the Islamic Republic from power and they did not end the nuclear programme through military strikes and they did not break Iran links to Hezbollah. Iran remains at the negotiating table with Lebanon included in the framework and sanctions relief being discussed. That is the victory Tehran is selling.

But the counterattack from hardliners is already underway and it is coming from inside the house. The deputy chair of parliament National Security Committee reportedly described the draft deal as a document that would turn Iran into an American colony and accused negotiators of ignoring the supreme leader directive not to reopen the Strait of Hormuz to shipping. That criticism lands hard because it does not come from exile opposition figures and it comes from within one of the institutions meant to oversee national security. These are the same people who spent months arguing that the United States cannot be trusted and they point to the fact that diplomacy was still taking place shortly before the war began while Washington and Israel were preparing military action. For them any deal with the Trump administration risks looking like appeasement of an enemy that just bombed the country.

Some of these voices appear quieter now which may suggest the decision to proceed has been authorised from the highest levels of the state. It might also suggest that the centre of power has calculated that the cost of rejecting a deal outweighs the cost of absorbing hardline fury. Economic pressure is central to that calculation. The war and sanctions and restrictions on shipping and reduced access to oil markets and hard currency and punishing inflation have all squeezed ordinary Iranians to the breaking point. For many families the question is not whether the agreement sounds like victory but whether it lowers prices and reduces the fear of another round of war.

JD Vance has said Iran would not receive American taxpayer money but could gain access to billions of dollars if it fulfills its commitments and sanctions are eased. That gives Tehran room to sell the deal as a path to investment and reconstruction rather than dependency on Washington. It is a delicate framing and one that depends entirely on results that have not materialised yet.

The details of the memorandum remain unpublished and negotiations are expected to begin in Switzerland on Friday. The most difficult issues are still unresolved. The future of enriched uranium and the level of enrichment allowed and verification and sanctions relief and Hormuz and Lebanon all remain on the table. The deal is a framework and not a settlement and the hard work has not even started.

Israel looms over everything. Benjamin Netanyahu has rejected reports that Israeli forces will withdraw from southern Lebanon and said they will remain as long as necessary. Trump publicly criticised Israel conduct in Lebanon and said too many people have been killed and expressed unhappiness with a strike on Beirut shortly before the deal was reached while insisting his relationship with Netanyahu remained excellent. For Tehran this visible friction between Washington and Israel is useful and can be presented as evidence that Iran pressure has complicated Israel freedom of action. But it also makes the deal fragile and if Israel continues operations in Lebanon then Tehran claim that Lebanon is covered by the memorandum will be tested immediately.

The reaction on the ground tells a more complicated story than any official narrative. Some Iranians remain deeply distrustful and one audience member told Source Persian that even after hearing about the agreement they had no trust and worried about whether the country would be properly managed if the deal lasted. Another who initially supported US military action asked what the attack had achieved since it did not lead to political change and said their hope was that the ruling system would change but apart from misery and inflation and further damage to the economy what benefit did it have for people. Others were more sympathetic to the government line with one describing Iran as the winner and saying the war proved sanctions are lifted not through begging but through the use of power.

The most honest assessment came from someone who welcomed the agreement cautiously and said it allowed people to return to work and life with greater peace of mind while acknowledging it is probably temporary. They said we needed a few months of breathing space and calm. That may be the most accurate reading of where things stand. The Islamic Republic is selling the deal as victory because it cannot easily sell it as necessity. For millions of Iranians the success will not be measured by slogans and it will be measured by whether the war stops and whether prices ease and whether sanctions relief actually arrives and whether the leadership can manage the next phase without another sudden and violent escalation.

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