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Bayern Munich vs Paris Saint-Germain prediction – another goal fest expected at the Allianz Arena
Bayern Munich and Paris Saint-Germain meet again on Wednesday for the second leg of their Champions League semi-final. The first leg in Paris delivered a record-breaking nine-goal thriller. PSG edged it 5-4. Now the tie moves to Germany with everything still up for grabs.
Neutrals loved the first encounter. Defensive discipline was nowhere to be found. PSG’s front three of Ousmane Dembele, Desire Doue and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia tore through Bayern early on. They combined for seven direct goal involvements in the first hour alone.
Bayern looked dead and buried at 2-5 down. Then came a stunning four-minute burst. They pulled two goals back to make it 4-5. The comeback set the stage for an unpredictable return leg. Bayern boss Vincent Kompany watched from the stands while serving a suspension. He saw his side concede five goals in a Champions League match for the first time in over three decades.
Bayern Munich vs Paris Saint-Germain prediction – history and form point to more drama
History does not favor the German side. Bayern have lost the first leg of a European semi-final ten times before. They were eliminated on nine of those occasions. The only successful comeback came way back in the 1981-82 season against CSKA Sofia.
Bayern’s recent form is also worrying. A 3-3 draw with Heidenheim over the weekend extended their winless run to two matches. They needed a stoppage-time equaliser from Michael Olise just to salvage a point. Their last three games have produced 22 goals. The last eleven have seen 59 strikes fly in. That is an average of over five per match.
PSG boss Luis Enrique dismissed criticism of his team’s defending in the first leg. He called it a poor opinion. His side got the win and that is what matters. The French champions have a strong record when taking a lead into the second leg. They have progressed from 36 of their 43 UEFA ties after winning the first match.
PSG’s away form is impressive. They have won their last six matches on the road across all competitions. Clean sheets were kept in the last five. But shutting out Bayern at the Allianz Arena is a different challenge entirely. Bayern have won five of their last six home matches against PSG, scoring 15 goals in the process.
Both teams are chasing Barcelona’s single-season record of 45 Champions League goals. PSG sit on 43. Bayern have 42. The winner of this tie will face either Arsenal or Atletico Madrid in the Budapest final.
Bayern have no fresh injury worries. Lennart Karl and Raphael Guerreiro are back from thigh and hamstring issues. Serge Gnabry remains the only absentee. Manuel Neuer, Dayot Upamecano, Alphonso Davies, Joshua Kimmich, Olise, Luis Diaz and Harry Kane will all return to the starting lineup. Kane is chasing a seventh straight Champions League game with a goal.
PSG suffered a major blow in the first leg. Achraf Hakimi pulled up with a hamstring injury and will miss several weeks. Warren Zaire-Emery is expected to cover in defence. Fabian Ruiz should join Vitinha and Joao Neves in midfield. Second-choice goalkeeper Lucas Chevalier is also out with a hand injury. Kvaratskhelia needs one more goal to set a new single-season UCL record for PSG.
Bayern possible lineup: Neuer; Stanisic, Upamecano, Tah, Davies; Kimmich, Pavlovic; Olise, Musiala, Diaz; Kane.
PSG possible lineup: Safonov; Zaire-Emery, Marquinhos, Pacho, Mendes; Ruiz, Vitinha, Neves; Doue, Dembele, Kvaratskhelia.
Everything points to another high-scoring affair. The absence of Hakimi could hurt PSG badly. Bayern have scored four goals in five of their last seven home matches. Expect them to go all out. The prediction is Bayern Munich 4-2 Paris Saint-Germain. That would send the German side through 8-7 on aggregate after a staggering 15-goal semi-final.
